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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Division I Kazakhstan
Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
73 : 772014.12.02 · 종료
AlmatyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +82.7%
VALUE EDGE+82.7%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEB
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsAlmaty
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better +0.17
137.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.50
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
82.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
17.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
L · 49-63L · 70-56L · 76-98W · 73-77L · 63-79
Almaty
W · 49-63L · 65-73L · 70-65W · 88-77W · 66-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.21Kaspiy Aktau81 : 70Almaty
2016.02.20Kaspiy Aktau78 : 70Almaty
2016.01.16Almaty52 : 63Kaspiy Aktau
2016.01.15Almaty66 : 62Kaspiy Aktau
2015.12.15Almaty70 : 82Kaspiy Aktau
2015.02.09Almaty58 : 75Kaspiy Aktau
2015.02.08Almaty81 : 89Kaspiy Aktau
2014.12.02Kaspiy Aktau73 : 77Almaty
2014.12.01Kaspiy Aktau49 : 63Almaty
2014.11.07Almaty88 : 77Kaspiy Aktau