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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Championship Women Kazakhstan · Championship Women - Semi-finals
Aktau WHOME · -
46 : 802022.05.20 · 종료
Turan WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.2%
VALUE EDGE+69.2%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
Aktau WAnalysis MetricsTuran W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.33 Point MarginHigher is better -3.33
102.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 125.50
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktau W
L · 90-54W · 61-63W · 77-56W · 66-71W · 79-60
Turan W
W · 90-54L · 61-63W · 68-71L · 94-75W · 43-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.02.07Turan W64 : 59Aktau W
2025.01.31Turan W80 : 58Aktau W
2025.01.30Turan W64 : 59Aktau W
2024.11.16Aktau W79 : 55Turan W
2024.11.15Aktau W69 : 56Turan W
2024.04.18Turan W70 : 68Aktau W
2024.04.16Aktau W57 : 70Turan W
2024.04.15Turan W74 : 62Aktau W
2024.01.30Aktau W51 : 86Turan W
2024.01.27Turan W86 : 59Aktau W