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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Championship Women Kazakhstan · Championship Women - Semi-finals
Pavlodar WHOME · -
58 : 662022.05.20 · 종료
Okzhetpes WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.9%
VALUE EDGE+52.9%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
Pavlodar WAnalysis MetricsOkzhetpes W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-9.08 Point MarginHigher is better -2.67
98.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 119.17
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.2 / 15
Prediction separation2.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar W
L · 58-50L · 69-48W · 58-88W · 93-64W · 87-66
Okzhetpes W
W · 58-50W · 69-48L · 68-71W · 64-33L · 56-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.06Okzhetpes W80 : 48Pavlodar W
2025.03.05Okzhetpes W66 : 49Pavlodar W
2025.02.07Okzhetpes W83 : 39Pavlodar W
2024.10.30Pavlodar W30 : 55Okzhetpes W
2024.10.29Pavlodar W50 : 63Okzhetpes W
2024.01.29Pavlodar W43 : 80Okzhetpes W
2023.11.26Okzhetpes W73 : 52Pavlodar W
2023.11.23Pavlodar W65 : 53Okzhetpes W
2022.10.17Pavlodar W66 : 55Okzhetpes W
2022.05.20Pavlodar W58 : 66Okzhetpes W