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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Championship Women Kazakhstan · Championship Women - Semi-finals
Okzhetpes WHOME · -
69 : 482022.05.17 · 종료
Pavlodar WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +63.1%
VALUE EDGE+63.1%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
Okzhetpes WAnalysis MetricsPavlodar W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-2.67 Point MarginHigher is better -9.08
119.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 98.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation11.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
63.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okzhetpes W
L · 68-71W · 64-33L · 56-72W · 60-83W · 87-53
Pavlodar W
W · 58-88W · 93-64W · 87-66W · 39-49W · 94-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.06Okzhetpes W80 : 48Pavlodar W
2025.03.05Okzhetpes W66 : 49Pavlodar W
2025.02.07Okzhetpes W83 : 39Pavlodar W
2024.10.30Pavlodar W30 : 55Okzhetpes W
2024.10.29Pavlodar W50 : 63Okzhetpes W
2024.01.29Pavlodar W43 : 80Okzhetpes W
2023.11.26Okzhetpes W73 : 52Pavlodar W
2023.11.23Pavlodar W65 : 53Okzhetpes W
2022.10.17Pavlodar W66 : 55Okzhetpes W
2022.05.20Pavlodar W58 : 66Okzhetpes W