Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Championship Women
Kazakhstan · Championship Women - Quarter-finals
MBJSM Almaty WHOME · -
58 : 882022.05.03 · 종료
Pavlodar WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.6%
VALUE EDGE+65.6%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
MBJSM Almaty WAnalysis MetricsPavlodar W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.08
137.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
98.08
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation13.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MBJSM Almaty W
L · 93-64L · 87-66L · 79-60W · 57-54W · 74-53
Pavlodar W
W · 93-64W · 87-66W · 39-49W · 94-75W · 56-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.05.03 | MBJSM Almaty W | 58 : 88 | Pavlodar W |
| 2022.05.01 | Pavlodar W | 93 : 64 | MBJSM Almaty W |
| 2022.04.30 | Pavlodar W | 87 : 66 | MBJSM Almaty W |
| 2021.11.27 | Pavlodar W | 93 : 53 | MBJSM Almaty W |
| 2021.10.09 | Pavlodar W | 82 : 50 | MBJSM Almaty W |
| 2021.01.21 | Pavlodar W | 76 : 58 | MBJSM Almaty W |
| 2020.10.23 | Pavlodar W | 76 : 46 | MBJSM Almaty W |