Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Championship Women
Kazakhstan · Championship Women - Quarter-finals
Pavlodar WHOME · -
87 : 662022.04.30 · 종료
MBJSM Almaty WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Pavlodar WAnalysis MetricsMBJSM Almaty W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-9.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.92
98.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
137.08
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
12.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
12.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar W
W · 39-49W · 94-75W · 56-72W · 51-55L · 58-61
MBJSM Almaty W
L · 79-60W · 57-54W · 74-53L · 98-79W · 73-53
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.05.03 | MBJSM Almaty W | 58 : 88 | Pavlodar W |
| 2022.05.01 | Pavlodar W | 93 : 64 | MBJSM Almaty W |
| 2022.04.30 | Pavlodar W | 87 : 66 | MBJSM Almaty W |
| 2021.11.27 | Pavlodar W | 93 : 53 | MBJSM Almaty W |
| 2021.10.09 | Pavlodar W | 82 : 50 | MBJSM Almaty W |
| 2021.01.21 | Pavlodar W | 76 : 58 | MBJSM Almaty W |
| 2020.10.23 | Pavlodar W | 76 : 46 | MBJSM Almaty W |