Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Championship Women
Kazakhstan
Aktau WHOME · -
83 : 512022.04.16 · 종료
Shymkent WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Aktau WAnalysis MetricsShymkent W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.67
102.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
130.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktau W
W · 98-79W · 52-86W · 117-71W · 102-85W · 45-83
Shymkent W
W · 60-57L · 73-53L · 117-71L · 46-49L · 68-49
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.11.12 | Shymkent W | 63 : 71 | Aktau W |
| 2022.04.16 | Aktau W | 83 : 51 | Shymkent W |
| 2022.04.12 | Aktau W | 117 : 71 | Shymkent W |
| 2022.02.01 | Aktau W | 90 : 53 | Shymkent W |
| 2022.01.28 | Aktau W | 87 : 57 | Shymkent W |
| 2021.12.20 | Aktau W | 100 : 50 | Shymkent W |
| 2021.10.11 | Aktau W | 97 : 54 | Shymkent W |