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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Championship Women Kazakhstan
MBJSM Almaty WHOME · -
68 : 752022.04.12 · 종료
Karaganda WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.3%
VALUE EDGE+66.3%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADES
MBJSM Almaty WAnalysis MetricsKaraganda W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -12.67
137.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 111.00
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation13.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MBJSM Almaty W
L · 102-85W · 68-49W · 57-35W · 74-49L · 97-74
Karaganda W
W · 46-49L · 45-83L · 57-35L · 74-49L · 72-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.16MBJSM Almaty W74 : 53Karaganda W
2022.04.12MBJSM Almaty W68 : 75Karaganda W
2022.02.01MBJSM Almaty W57 : 35Karaganda W
2022.01.31MBJSM Almaty W74 : 49Karaganda W
2021.12.21MBJSM Almaty W70 : 79Karaganda W
2021.10.10MBJSM Almaty W70 : 71Karaganda W
2021.03.11Karaganda W82 : 78MBJSM Almaty W
2021.02.19Karaganda W68 : 64MBJSM Almaty W
2021.02.15Karaganda W83 : 60MBJSM Almaty W
2021.01.22Karaganda W49 : 61MBJSM Almaty W