경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera C Argentina · Regular Season - 28

MercedesHOME · 3.72

1 : 12026.09.11 · 종료

Deportivo EspañolAWAY · 2.09

HOME · 현재 순위 9위 승점 36 · 27경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 41 · 27경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.4%

DRAW34.8%

AWAY30.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK DRAW 23.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +10.2%

VALUE EDGE+10.2%

FAIR ODDS2.91

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 62/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -3.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +5.6%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -8.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +9.2%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Mercedes분석 지표Deportivo Español

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.67

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.17

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%

6.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

81/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.3 / 15

예측 분리도0.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME24.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승7.7%표본 13경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승31.3%현재 이동 +22.0%

OPEN → NOW3.05 → 3.72배당 업데이트 2026-09-10 23:52:05

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

34.4%

DRAW

34.8%

AWAY

30.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Mercedes

L · 0-3L · 4-1W · 2-0L · 1-0L · 2-0

Deportivo Español

W · 1-0W · 0-1D · 0-0D · 0-0D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.31

→

CURRENT3.72

+12.53%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.84

→

CURRENT2.71

-4.69%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.23

→

CURRENT2.09

-6.25%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-10 12:22:06	3.31	2.84	2.23
2026-09-10 12:32:05	3.31	2.84	2.23
2026-09-10 12:42:05	3.31	2.84	2.23
2026-09-10 12:52:05	3.31	2.84	2.23
2026-09-10 13:02:06	3.31	2.84	2.23
2026-09-10 13:12:05	3.31	2.84	2.23
2026-09-10 13:22:05	3.31	2.84	2.23
2026-09-10 13:32:05	3.31	2.84	2.23
2026-09-10 13:42:04	3.31	2.84	2.23
2026-09-10 13:52:05	3.31	2.84	2.23
2026-09-10 14:02:05	3.30	2.83	2.21
2026-09-10 14:02:06	3.35	2.95	2.30
2026-09-10 14:12:05	3.31	2.84	2.23
2026-09-10 14:22:05	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 14:32:05	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 14:42:05	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 14:52:06	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 15:02:05	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 15:12:04	3.37	2.77	2.20
2026-09-10 15:12:05	3.27	2.88	2.23
2026-09-10 15:22:06	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 15:32:06	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 15:42:05	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 15:52:05	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 16:02:05	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 16:12:05	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 16:22:06	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 16:32:06	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 16:42:05	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 16:52:06	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 17:02:06	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 17:12:04	3.30	2.85	2.23
2026-09-10 17:22:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 17:32:05	3.42	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 17:32:06	3.54	2.82	2.15
2026-09-10 17:42:04	3.40	2.82	2.15
2026-09-10 17:42:05	3.53	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 17:52:04	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 18:02:06	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 18:12:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 18:22:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 18:32:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 18:42:04	3.40	2.82	2.15
2026-09-10 18:42:05	3.53	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 18:52:06	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 19:02:06	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 19:12:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 19:22:05	3.46	2.82	2.13
2026-09-10 19:22:06	3.51	2.84	2.17
2026-09-10 19:32:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 19:42:04	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 19:52:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 20:02:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 20:12:05	3.46	2.82	2.13
2026-09-10 20:12:06	3.51	2.84	2.17
2026-09-10 20:22:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 20:32:04	3.46	2.82	2.13
2026-09-10 20:32:05	3.51	2.84	2.17
2026-09-10 20:42:04	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 20:52:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 21:02:06	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 21:12:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 21:22:06	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 21:32:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 21:42:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 21:52:06	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 22:02:05	3.46	2.82	2.13
2026-09-10 22:02:06	3.51	2.84	2.17
2026-09-10 22:12:04	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 22:22:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 22:32:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 22:42:04	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 22:52:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 23:02:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 23:12:05	3.48	2.83	2.14
2026-09-10 23:22:05	3.72	2.71	2.09
2026-09-10 23:32:04	3.72	2.71	2.09
2026-09-10 23:42:06	3.70	2.70	2.08
2026-09-10 23:42:07	3.82	2.74	2.11
2026-09-10 23:52:05	3.72	2.71	2.09

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.11	Mercedes	1 : 1	Deportivo Español
2026.05.19	Deportivo Español	1 : 0	Mercedes