경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera C Argentina · Regular Season - 27

MercedesHOME · 2.42

0 : 32026.09.05 · 종료

Defensores de CambaceresAWAY · 3.09

HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 36 · 26경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 10위 승점 29 · 26경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.3%

DRAW27.3%

AWAY11.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +23.7%

VALUE EDGE+23.7%

FAIR ODDS1.63

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +25.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +22.2%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +8.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +9.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -4.3%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Mercedes분석 지표Defensores de Cambaceres

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.58

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

5.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.3 / 15

예측 분리도14.6 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME37.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승34.7%표본 49경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.4%현재 이동 -6.9%

OPEN → NOW2.60 → 2.42배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:06

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

61.3%

DRAW

27.3%

AWAY

11.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Mercedes

L · 4-1W · 2-0L · 1-0L · 2-0D · 1-1

Defensores de Cambaceres

D · 0-0W · 0-2L · 2-0W · 2-0L · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.42

→

CURRENT2.42

+0.04%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.78

→

CURRENT2.73

-1.53%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.96

→

CURRENT2.98

+0.74%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 02:52:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 03:02:05	2.38	2.76	2.98
2026-09-04 03:02:06	2.58	2.85	2.88
2026-09-04 03:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 03:22:07	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 03:32:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 03:42:05	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 03:52:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 04:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 04:32:05	2.35	2.85	3.10
2026-09-04 04:32:06	2.43	2.77	2.94
2026-09-04 04:52:07	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 05:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 05:32:05	2.38	2.77	2.96
2026-09-04 05:32:06	2.51	2.80	2.97
2026-09-04 05:52:07	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 06:12:05	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 06:32:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 06:52:07	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 07:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 07:32:05	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 07:52:07	2.42	2.77	2.97
2026-09-04 08:12:06	2.42	2.77	2.97
2026-09-04 08:32:06	2.42	2.77	2.97
2026-09-04 08:52:06	2.42	2.77	2.97
2026-09-04 09:12:07	2.42	2.77	2.97
2026-09-04 09:32:07	2.42	2.77	2.97
2026-09-04 09:52:07	2.42	2.77	2.97
2026-09-04 10:12:05	2.42	2.77	2.97
2026-09-04 10:32:06	2.42	2.77	2.97
2026-09-04 10:52:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 11:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 11:32:05	2.37	2.77	2.94
2026-09-04 11:32:06	2.49	2.79	2.99
2026-09-04 11:52:06	2.40	2.77	2.95
2026-09-04 11:52:07	2.55	2.85	3.05
2026-09-04 12:12:05	2.41	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 12:12:06	2.42	2.77	2.96
2026-09-04 12:32:06	2.37	2.77	2.94
2026-09-04 12:32:07	2.49	2.79	2.99
2026-09-04 12:52:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 13:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 13:32:05	2.41	2.80	2.97
2026-09-04 13:32:06	2.43	2.75	2.95
2026-09-04 13:52:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 14:12:05	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 14:32:06	2.35	2.85	3.10
2026-09-04 14:32:07	2.42	2.77	2.94
2026-09-04 14:52:07	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 15:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 15:32:05	2.38	2.76	2.98
2026-09-04 15:32:06	2.58	2.85	2.88
2026-09-04 15:52:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 16:12:05	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 16:32:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 16:52:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 17:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 17:32:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 17:52:08	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 18:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 18:32:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 18:52:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 19:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 19:32:05	2.37	2.77	3.06
2026-09-04 19:32:06	2.44	2.78	2.92
2026-09-04 19:52:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 20:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 20:32:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 20:52:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 21:12:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 21:32:05	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 21:52:07	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 22:12:05	2.41	2.80	2.97
2026-09-04 22:12:06	2.43	2.75	2.95
2026-09-04 22:32:06	2.42	2.78	2.96
2026-09-04 22:52:06	2.42	2.73	2.98
2026-09-04 23:12:05	2.42	2.73	2.98
2026-09-04 23:32:05	2.43	2.74	2.99
2026-09-04 23:32:06	2.42	2.73	2.98
2026-09-04 23:52:06	2.42	2.73	2.98

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	Mercedes	0 : 3	Defensores de Cambaceres
2026.05.09	Defensores de Cambaceres	2 : 1	Mercedes