LIVE 33 오늘 290경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Primera B Metropolitana Argentina · Regular Season - 38
Defensores UnidosHOME · 2.31
1 : 12026.10.04 · 종료
Argentino QuilmesAWAY · 3.19
HOME · 현재 순위 18위 승점 41 · 38경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 15위 승점 43 · 38경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.5%
DRAW30.3%
AWAY22.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH79 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 79/100
AI PICK HOME 39.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +8.8%
VALUE EDGE+8.8%
FAIR ODDS2.10
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 78/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +19.9%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +16.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.8%p
REST HOME +9.2%p
MARKET HOME +10.7%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Defensores Unidos분석 지표Argentino Quilmes
33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%
1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.33
0.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.67
40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%
7.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

79/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지15.7 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본4.5 / 10
모델 일치도13.9 / 15
예측 분리도7.4 / 15
데이터 신선도7.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보1.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME38.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승47.4%표본 57경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승40.0%표본 5경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.5%현재 이동 +0.4%
OPEN → NOW2.30 → 2.31배당 업데이트 2026-10-03 15:32:11

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
47.5%
DRAW
30.3%
AWAY
22.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Defensores Unidos
W · 0-1L · 2-0W · 3-0D · 0-0D · 0-0
Argentino Quilmes
D · 0-0D · 0-0W · 1-0L · 1-0L · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+8.0%+4.0%0.0%-4.0%-8.0%10/03 00:0210/03 03:1210/03 09:2210/03 11:5210/03 15:32HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:07HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:04:59HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:06HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:09HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-10-03 01:42:07HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-10-03 02:12:07HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-10-03 02:42:08HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-10-03 03:12:07HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-10-03 03:42:06HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-10-03 04:12:06HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-10-03 04:42:08HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-10-03 05:12:08HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-10-03 05:42:07HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-10-03 06:12:06HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-10-03 09:22:10HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-10-03 09:52:10HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +0.22% · 2026-10-03 10:22:09HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.96% · 2026-10-03 10:22:10HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-10-03 10:52:09HOME · 배당 2.29 · 변동 -0.22% · 2026-10-03 11:22:09HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +4.14% · 2026-10-03 11:22:10HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-10-03 11:52:10HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-10-03 12:22:12HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-10-03 12:52:08HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-10-03 13:22:10HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-10-03 13:52:09HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-10-03 14:22:09HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-10-03 14:52:11HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-10-03 15:32:11DRAW · 배당 2.72 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:07DRAW · 배당 2.72 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:04:59DRAW · 배당 2.72 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:06DRAW · 배당 2.72 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:09DRAW · 배당 2.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 01:42:07DRAW · 배당 2.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 02:12:07DRAW · 배당 2.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 02:42:08DRAW · 배당 2.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 03:12:07DRAW · 배당 2.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 03:42:06DRAW · 배당 2.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 04:12:06DRAW · 배당 2.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 04:42:08DRAW · 배당 2.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 05:12:08DRAW · 배당 2.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 05:42:07DRAW · 배당 2.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 06:12:06DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.66% · 2026-10-03 09:22:10DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.66% · 2026-10-03 09:52:10DRAW · 배당 2.80 · 변동 +3.00% · 2026-10-03 10:22:09DRAW · 배당 2.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 10:22:10DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-03 10:52:09DRAW · 배당 2.70 · 변동 -0.67% · 2026-10-03 11:22:09DRAW · 배당 2.86 · 변동 +5.21% · 2026-10-03 11:22:10DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-03 11:52:10DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-03 12:22:12DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-03 12:52:08DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-03 13:22:10DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-03 13:52:09DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-03 14:22:09DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-03 14:52:11DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-03 15:32:11AWAY · 배당 3.28 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:07AWAY · 배당 3.28 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:04:59AWAY · 배당 3.28 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:06AWAY · 배당 3.28 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:09AWAY · 배당 3.22 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-03 01:42:07AWAY · 배당 3.22 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-03 02:12:07AWAY · 배당 3.22 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-03 02:42:08AWAY · 배당 3.22 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-03 03:12:07AWAY · 배당 3.22 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-03 03:42:06AWAY · 배당 3.22 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-03 04:12:06AWAY · 배당 3.22 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-03 04:42:08AWAY · 배당 3.22 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-03 05:12:08AWAY · 배당 3.22 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-03 05:42:07AWAY · 배당 3.22 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-03 06:12:06AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 -3.15% · 2026-10-03 09:22:10AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 -3.15% · 2026-10-03 09:52:10AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -5.44% · 2026-10-03 10:22:09AWAY · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -2.83% · 2026-10-03 10:22:10AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -3.34% · 2026-10-03 10:52:09AWAY · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -4.83% · 2026-10-03 11:22:09AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 11:22:10AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -3.34% · 2026-10-03 11:52:10AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -3.34% · 2026-10-03 12:22:12AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -3.34% · 2026-10-03 12:52:08AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -3.34% · 2026-10-03 13:22:10AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -3.34% · 2026-10-03 13:52:09AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -3.34% · 2026-10-03 14:22:09AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -3.34% · 2026-10-03 14:52:11AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -3.34% · 2026-10-03 15:32:11
HOME29 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.30
→
CURRENT2.32
+0.87%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW29 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.72
→
CURRENT2.74
+0.80%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY29 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.28
→
CURRENT3.17
-3.34%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:02:072.302.723.28
2026-10-03 00:04:592.302.723.28
2026-10-03 00:42:062.302.723.28
2026-10-03 01:12:092.302.723.28
2026-10-03 01:42:072.322.733.22
2026-10-03 02:12:072.322.733.22
2026-10-03 02:42:082.322.733.22
2026-10-03 03:12:072.322.733.22
2026-10-03 03:42:062.322.733.22
2026-10-03 04:12:062.322.733.22
2026-10-03 04:42:082.322.733.22
2026-10-03 05:12:082.322.733.22
2026-10-03 05:42:072.322.733.22
2026-10-03 06:12:062.322.733.22
2026-10-03 09:22:102.322.743.18
2026-10-03 09:52:102.322.743.18
2026-10-03 10:22:092.302.803.10
2026-10-03 10:22:102.322.733.19
2026-10-03 10:52:092.322.743.17
2026-10-03 11:22:092.292.703.12
2026-10-03 11:22:102.392.863.32
2026-10-03 11:52:102.322.743.17
2026-10-03 12:22:122.322.743.17
2026-10-03 12:52:082.322.743.17
2026-10-03 13:22:102.322.743.17
2026-10-03 13:52:092.322.743.17
2026-10-03 14:22:092.322.743.17
2026-10-03 14:52:112.322.743.17
2026-10-03 15:32:112.322.743.17

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.04Defensores Unidos1 : 1Argentino Quilmes
2026.05.24Argentino Quilmes1 : 0Defensores Unidos