경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Primera B Metropolitana Argentina · Regular Season - 35

Argentino de MerloHOME · 3.23

0 : 12026.09.12 · 종료

Real PilarAWAY · 2.15

HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 41 · 34경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 52 · 34경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.7%

DRAW30.0%

AWAY34.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 32.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +7.9%

VALUE EDGE+7.9%

FAIR ODDS2.80

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 68/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -5.7%p

HOME_AWAY EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -13.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +0.7%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -5.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Argentino de Merlo분석 지표Real Pilar

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

0.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00

1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.83

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

5.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도8.2 / 15

예측 분리도0.6 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME27.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승28.4%표본 88경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승31.7%현재 이동 -28.2%

OPEN → NOW4.49 → 3.23배당 업데이트 2026-09-11 23:42:03

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

35.7%

DRAW

30.0%

AWAY

34.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Argentino de Merlo

L · 2-0D · 0-0L · 2-0D · 0-0D · 1-1

Real Pilar

L · 0-2D · 1-1W · 2-0W · 0-1D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.35

→

CURRENT3.21

-26.24%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.06

→

CURRENT2.89

-5.58%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.86

→

CURRENT2.14

+15.42%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-11 00:02:04	4.35	3.06	1.86
2026-09-11 00:22:05	4.35	3.06	1.86
2026-09-11 00:42:04	4.35	3.06	1.86
2026-09-11 01:02:06	4.35	3.06	1.86
2026-09-11 01:22:05	4.80	2.95	1.80
2026-09-11 01:22:06	4.30	3.08	1.86
2026-09-11 01:42:04	4.35	3.03	1.85
2026-09-11 01:42:05	4.36	3.11	1.87
2026-09-11 02:02:05	4.35	3.03	1.85
2026-09-11 02:02:06	4.36	3.11	1.87
2026-09-11 02:22:05	4.35	3.06	1.86
2026-09-11 02:42:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 03:02:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 03:22:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 03:42:06	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 04:02:04	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 04:22:06	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 04:42:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 05:02:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 05:22:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 05:42:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 06:02:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 06:22:04	4.46	3.04	1.80
2026-09-11 06:22:05	4.42	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 06:42:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 07:02:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 07:22:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 07:42:06	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 08:02:06	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 08:22:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 08:42:05	4.57	3.06	1.78
2026-09-11 08:42:06	4.38	3.04	1.82
2026-09-11 09:02:06	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 09:22:05	4.43	3.01	1.79
2026-09-11 09:22:06	4.47	3.13	1.86
2026-09-11 09:42:05	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 10:02:06	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 10:22:06	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 10:42:06	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 11:02:04	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 11:22:06	4.44	3.04	1.81
2026-09-11 11:42:03	3.56	2.87	2.02
2026-09-11 12:02:03	3.56	2.87	2.02
2026-09-11 12:22:04	3.56	2.87	2.02
2026-09-11 12:42:04	3.56	2.87	2.02
2026-09-11 13:02:03	3.56	2.87	2.02
2026-09-11 13:22:04	3.56	2.87	2.02
2026-09-11 13:42:04	3.56	2.87	2.02
2026-09-11 14:02:03	3.56	2.87	2.02
2026-09-11 14:22:04	3.56	2.87	2.02
2026-09-11 14:42:04	3.39	2.86	2.08
2026-09-11 15:02:03	3.39	2.86	2.08
2026-09-11 15:22:04	3.39	2.86	2.08
2026-09-11 15:42:04	3.39	2.86	2.08
2026-09-11 16:02:04	3.39	2.86	2.08
2026-09-11 16:22:03	3.41	2.79	2.08
2026-09-11 16:22:04	3.37	2.99	2.08
2026-09-11 16:42:04	3.39	2.86	2.08
2026-09-11 17:02:04	3.39	2.86	2.08
2026-09-11 17:22:05	3.39	2.86	2.08
2026-09-11 17:42:03	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 18:02:03	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 18:22:04	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 18:42:04	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 19:02:03	3.25	2.89	2.09
2026-09-11 19:02:04	3.58	3.04	2.04
2026-09-11 19:22:04	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 19:42:03	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 20:02:03	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 20:22:03	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 20:42:03	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 21:02:04	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 21:22:04	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 21:42:04	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 22:02:03	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 22:22:03	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 22:42:04	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 23:02:04	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 23:22:03	3.30	2.92	2.08
2026-09-11 23:42:03	3.21	2.89	2.14

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.12	Argentino de Merlo	0 : 1	Real Pilar
2026.05.03	Real Pilar	1 : 1	Argentino de Merlo