경기 상세 분석 종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primera Nacional
Argentina · Regular Season - 31
Defensores De Belgrano HOME · 2.70
0 : 1 2026.09.28 · 종료
Ferro Carril Oeste AWAY · 3.00
HOME · 현재 순위
11위
승점 37
· 32경기
LEAGUE STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
1위
승점 61
· 32경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME 15.1%
DRAW 25.3%
AWAY 59.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM 75 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME 33.9% 현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승 12.5% 표본 8경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승 0.0% 표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승 45.7% 현재 이동 +1.3%
OPEN → NOW 2.67 → 2.70 배당 업데이트 2026-09-27 12:22:16
확률 구성 배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력 현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Defensores De Belgrano W · 0-1 W · 2-1 D · 1-1 W · 3-0 L · 1-0
Ferro Carril Oeste W · 1-0 D · 0-0 D · 0-0 D · 2-2 W · 1-0
배당 변화 히스토리 OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOME DRAW AWAY
+6.0% +3.0% 0.0% -3.0% -6.0% 09/26 00:15 09/27 02:02 09/27 05:52 09/27 09:22 09/27 12:22 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-26 00:15:06 HOME · 배당 2.67 · 변동 +0.13% · 2026-09-27 00:02:49 HOME · 배당 2.68 · 변동 +0.63% · 2026-09-27 00:02:50 HOME · 배당 2.75 · 변동 +3.25% · 2026-09-27 00:22:21 HOME · 배당 2.67 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-27 00:22:22 HOME · 배당 2.68 · 변동 +0.46% · 2026-09-27 00:42:20 HOME · 배당 2.67 · 변동 +0.20% · 2026-09-27 01:02:38 HOME · 배당 2.70 · 변동 +1.38% · 2026-09-27 01:02:39 HOME · 배당 2.68 · 변동 +0.46% · 2026-09-27 01:22:33 HOME · 배당 2.68 · 변동 +0.46% · 2026-09-27 01:42:06 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.22% · 2026-09-27 02:02:38 HOME · 배당 2.69 · 변동 +1.00% · 2026-09-27 02:02:39 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-27 02:22:28 HOME · 배당 2.65 · 변동 -0.69% · 2026-09-27 02:52:30 HOME · 배당 2.75 · 변동 +3.25% · 2026-09-27 02:52:31 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-27 03:22:28 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-27 03:52:16 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-27 04:22:17 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-27 04:52:13 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-27 05:22:16 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-27 05:52:22 HOME · 배당 2.70 · 변동 +1.38% · 2026-09-27 06:22:24 HOME · 배당 2.65 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-09-27 06:22:25 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-27 06:52:24 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-27 07:22:20 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-27 07:52:31 HOME · 배당 2.67 · 변동 +0.13% · 2026-09-27 08:22:32 HOME · 배당 2.67 · 변동 +0.25% · 2026-09-27 08:22:33 HOME · 배당 2.67 · 변동 +0.21% · 2026-09-27 08:52:12 HOME · 배당 2.70 · 변동 +1.38% · 2026-09-27 09:22:25 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-27 09:22:26 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.22% · 2026-09-27 09:52:18 HOME · 배당 2.68 · 변동 +0.55% · 2026-09-27 09:52:19 HOME · 배당 2.67 · 변동 +0.21% · 2026-09-27 10:22:13 HOME · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -0.17% · 2026-09-27 10:52:13 HOME · 배당 2.75 · 변동 +3.25% · 2026-09-27 10:52:14 HOME · 배당 2.69 · 변동 +1.11% · 2026-09-27 11:22:31 HOME · 배당 2.68 · 변동 +0.63% · 2026-09-27 11:22:32 HOME · 배당 2.69 · 변동 +1.00% · 2026-09-27 11:52:16 HOME · 배당 2.75 · 변동 +3.25% · 2026-09-27 12:22:15 HOME · 배당 2.67 · 변동 +0.36% · 2026-09-27 12:22:16 DRAW · 배당 2.61 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-26 00:15:06 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.15% · 2026-09-27 00:02:49 DRAW · 배당 2.63 · 변동 +0.77% · 2026-09-27 00:02:50 DRAW · 배당 2.60 · 변동 -0.26% · 2026-09-27 00:22:21 DRAW · 배당 2.61 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-27 00:22:22 DRAW · 배당 2.61 · 변동 +0.13% · 2026-09-27 00:42:20 DRAW · 배당 2.62 · 변동 +0.35% · 2026-09-27 01:02:38 DRAW · 배당 2.59 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 01:02:39 DRAW · 배당 2.61 · 변동 +0.13% · 2026-09-27 01:22:33 DRAW · 배당 2.61 · 변동 +0.13% · 2026-09-27 01:42:06 DRAW · 배당 2.61 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-27 02:02:38 DRAW · 배당 2.61 · 변동 +0.20% · 2026-09-27 02:02:39 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 02:22:28 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-09-27 02:52:30 DRAW · 배당 2.60 · 변동 -0.26% · 2026-09-27 02:52:31 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 03:22:28 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 03:52:16 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 04:22:17 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 04:52:13 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 05:22:16 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 05:52:22 DRAW · 배당 2.50 · 변동 -4.09% · 2026-09-27 06:22:24 DRAW · 배당 2.59 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 06:22:25 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 06:52:24 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 07:22:20 DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 07:52:31 DRAW · 배당 2.54 · 변동 -2.69% · 2026-09-27 08:22:32 DRAW · 배당 2.57 · 변동 -1.28% · 2026-09-27 08:22:33 DRAW · 배당 2.56 · 변동 -1.75% · 2026-09-27 08:52:12 DRAW · 배당 2.56 · 변동 -1.79% · 2026-09-27 09:22:25 DRAW · 배당 2.56 · 변동 -1.74% · 2026-09-27 09:22:26 DRAW · 배당 2.55 · 변동 -2.08% · 2026-09-27 09:52:18 DRAW · 배당 2.57 · 변동 -1.48% · 2026-09-27 09:52:19 DRAW · 배당 2.56 · 변동 -1.75% · 2026-09-27 10:22:13 DRAW · 배당 2.56 · 변동 -1.93% · 2026-09-27 10:52:13 DRAW · 배당 2.60 · 변동 -0.26% · 2026-09-27 10:52:14 DRAW · 배당 2.56 · 변동 -1.68% · 2026-09-27 11:22:31 DRAW · 배당 2.55 · 변동 -2.37% · 2026-09-27 11:22:32 DRAW · 배당 2.56 · 변동 -1.83% · 2026-09-27 11:52:16 DRAW · 배당 2.56 · 변동 -1.79% · 2026-09-27 12:22:15 DRAW · 배당 2.56 · 변동 -1.85% · 2026-09-27 12:22:16 AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-26 00:15:06 AWAY · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -1.19% · 2026-09-27 00:02:49 AWAY · 배당 2.89 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-27 00:02:50 AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-09-27 00:22:21 AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -1.68% · 2026-09-27 00:22:22 AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -1.68% · 2026-09-27 00:42:20 AWAY · 배당 2.89 · 변동 -1.88% · 2026-09-27 01:02:38 AWAY · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -0.96% · 2026-09-27 01:02:39 AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -1.68% · 2026-09-27 01:22:33 AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -1.68% · 2026-09-27 01:42:06 AWAY · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -1.47% · 2026-09-27 02:02:38 AWAY · 배당 2.89 · 변동 -1.84% · 2026-09-27 02:02:39 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-27 02:22:28 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.09% · 2026-09-27 02:52:30 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +1.75% · 2026-09-27 02:52:31 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-27 03:22:28 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-27 03:52:16 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-27 04:22:17 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-27 04:52:13 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-27 05:22:16 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-27 05:52:22 AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +5.14% · 2026-09-27 06:22:24 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +1.67% · 2026-09-27 06:22:25 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-27 06:52:24 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-27 07:22:20 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-27 07:52:31 AWAY · 배당 3.07 · 변동 +4.24% · 2026-09-27 08:22:32 AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-09-27 08:22:33 AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +2.28% · 2026-09-27 08:52:12 AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +5.14% · 2026-09-27 09:22:25 AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +1.46% · 2026-09-27 09:22:26 AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +2.60% · 2026-09-27 09:52:18 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +2.02% · 2026-09-27 09:52:19 AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +2.28% · 2026-09-27 10:22:13 AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +2.35% · 2026-09-27 10:52:13 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +1.75% · 2026-09-27 10:52:14 AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +0.88% · 2026-09-27 11:22:31 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +1.75% · 2026-09-27 11:22:32 AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +1.07% · 2026-09-27 11:52:16 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +3.45% · 2026-09-27 12:22:15 AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.40% · 2026-09-27 12:22:16
HOME41 SNAPSHOTS
+0.36%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW41 SNAPSHOTS
-1.85%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY41 SNAPSHOTS
+0.40%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기 수집시간 HOME DRAW AWAY 2026-09-26 00:15:06 2.66 2.61 2.95 2026-09-27 00:02:49 2.67 2.58 2.91 2026-09-27 00:02:50 2.68 2.63 2.89 2026-09-27 00:22:21 2.75 2.60 2.90 2026-09-27 00:22:22 2.67 2.61 2.90 2026-09-27 00:42:20 2.68 2.61 2.90 2026-09-27 01:02:38 2.67 2.62 2.89 2026-09-27 01:02:39 2.70 2.59 2.92 2026-09-27 01:22:33 2.68 2.61 2.90 2026-09-27 01:42:06 2.68 2.61 2.90 2026-09-27 02:02:38 2.66 2.61 2.91 2026-09-27 02:02:39 2.69 2.61 2.89 2026-09-27 02:22:28 2.66 2.58 3.01 2026-09-27 02:52:30 2.65 2.58 3.01 2026-09-27 02:52:31 2.75 2.60 3.00 2026-09-27 03:22:28 2.66 2.58 3.01 2026-09-27 03:52:16 2.66 2.58 3.01 2026-09-27 04:22:17 2.66 2.58 3.01 2026-09-27 04:52:13 2.66 2.58 3.01 2026-09-27 05:22:16 2.66 2.58 3.01 2026-09-27 05:52:22 2.66 2.58 3.01 2026-09-27 06:22:24 2.70 2.50 3.10 2026-09-27 06:22:25 2.65 2.59 3.00 2026-09-27 06:52:24 2.66 2.58 3.01 2026-09-27 07:22:20 2.66 2.58 3.01 2026-09-27 07:52:31 2.66 2.58 3.01 2026-09-27 08:22:32 2.67 2.54 3.07 2026-09-27 08:22:33 2.67 2.57 2.99 2026-09-27 08:52:12 2.67 2.56 3.02 2026-09-27 09:22:25 2.70 2.56 3.10 2026-09-27 09:22:26 2.66 2.56 2.99 2026-09-27 09:52:18 2.66 2.55 3.03 2026-09-27 09:52:19 2.68 2.57 3.01 2026-09-27 10:22:13 2.67 2.56 3.02 2026-09-27 10:52:13 2.66 2.56 3.02 2026-09-27 10:52:14 2.75 2.60 3.00 2026-09-27 11:22:31 2.69 2.56 2.97 2026-09-27 11:22:32 2.68 2.55 3.00 2026-09-27 11:52:16 2.69 2.56 2.98 2026-09-27 12:22:15 2.75 2.56 3.05 2026-09-27 12:22:16 2.67 2.56 2.96
상대전적 H2H 날짜 홈 결과 원정 2026.09.28 Defensores De Belgrano 0 : 1 Ferro Carril Oeste 2026.05.12 Ferro Carril Oeste 2 : 1 Defensores De Belgrano