경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera Nacional Argentina · Regular Season - 31

QuilmesHOME · 1.44

2 : 02026.09.27 · 종료

Club Atlético GüemesAWAY · 7.33

HOME · 현재 순위 13위 승점 35 · 30경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 18위 승점 23 · 30경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.8%

DRAW18.1%

AWAY5.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 51.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +13.0%

VALUE EDGE+13.0%

FAIR ODDS1.30

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +48.2%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +47.2%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +14.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +11.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.4%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Quilmes분석 지표Club Atlético Güemes

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

0.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.42

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.67

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

6.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.9 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME63.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승76.5%표본 17경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.5%현재 이동 +1.4%

OPEN → NOW1.42 → 1.44배당 업데이트 2026-09-26 23:52:59

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

76.8%

DRAW

18.1%

AWAY

5.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Quilmes

L · 3-0W · 1-0L · 1-0L · 0-1L · 1-0

Club Atlético Güemes

L · 0-2L · 2-0L · 1-3D · 1-1D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.42

→

CURRENT1.43

+1.16%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.86

→

CURRENT3.93

+1.89%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN7.21

→

CURRENT7.18

-0.35%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-25 00:15:04	1.42	3.86	7.21
2026-09-26 00:02:06	1.42	3.96	7.47
2026-09-26 00:02:07	1.44	3.82	7.47
2026-09-26 00:32:08	1.43	3.92	7.47
2026-09-26 00:52:08	1.43	3.92	7.47
2026-09-26 01:12:06	1.43	3.92	7.47
2026-09-26 01:32:07	1.43	3.92	7.47
2026-09-26 01:52:08	1.43	3.92	7.47
2026-09-26 02:12:08	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 02:32:10	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 02:52:13	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 03:12:09	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 03:32:11	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 03:52:11	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 04:12:08	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 04:42:09	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 05:12:09	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 05:42:08	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 06:12:07	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 06:42:08	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 07:12:09	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 07:42:09	1.43	3.92	7.44
2026-09-26 08:12:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 08:42:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 09:12:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 09:42:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 10:12:09	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 10:42:09	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 11:12:09	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 11:42:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 12:12:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 12:42:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 13:12:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 13:42:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 14:12:09	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 14:42:09	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 15:12:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 15:32:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 15:52:11	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 16:12:08	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 16:32:09	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 16:52:09	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 17:12:11	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 17:32:10	1.42	3.97	7.51
2026-09-26 17:32:11	1.44	3.82	7.37
2026-09-26 17:52:10	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 18:22:11	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 18:52:12	1.42	3.95	7.48
2026-09-26 18:52:13	1.47	3.80	7.40
2026-09-26 19:22:11	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 19:53:09	1.42	3.93	7.47
2026-09-26 20:22:58	1.42	3.95	7.49
2026-09-26 20:53:12	1.44	3.80	8.50
2026-09-26 20:53:13	1.42	3.97	7.33
2026-09-26 21:13:16	1.42	3.95	7.49
2026-09-26 21:13:17	1.45	3.90	7.50
2026-09-26 21:32:59	1.42	3.82	7.73
2026-09-26 21:33:00	1.42	4.00	7.40
2026-09-26 21:52:51	1.40	3.88	7.48
2026-09-26 21:52:52	1.44	4.00	7.50
2026-09-26 22:13:08	1.40	3.88	7.48
2026-09-26 22:13:09	1.44	4.00	7.50
2026-09-26 22:32:56	1.44	3.80	8.50
2026-09-26 22:32:57	1.42	3.97	7.33
2026-09-26 22:53:15	1.42	3.95	7.49
2026-09-26 23:13:08	1.42	3.91	7.23
2026-09-26 23:13:09	1.45	3.90	7.50
2026-09-26 23:32:26	1.42	3.91	7.26
2026-09-26 23:52:58	1.41	3.89	7.36
2026-09-26 23:52:59	1.43	3.93	7.18

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.27	Quilmes	2 : 0	Club Atlético Güemes
2026.05.11	Club Atlético Güemes	2 : 1	Quilmes