경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primera Nacional
Argentina · Regular Season - 30

Atletico DE RafaelaHOME · 2.58
4 : 22026.09.20 · 종료
San Martin TucumanAWAY · 3.01

HOME · 현재 순위
11위
승점 39
· 29경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
10위
승점 39
· 29경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.1%
DRAW31.0%
AWAY16.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH78 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME35.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승23.1%표본 26경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승44.5%현재 이동 +3.0%
OPEN → NOW2.50 → 2.58배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:32:37
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Atletico DE RafaelaL · 2-1L · 2-0W · 2-1D · 0-0D · 0-0
San Martin TucumanW · 3-0L · 2-0D · 1-1W · 1-2D · 2-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME57 SNAPSHOTS
+0.84%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW57 SNAPSHOTS
-0.36%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY57 SNAPSHOTS
+4.37%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-18 00:15:08 | 2.54 | 2.76 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-19 00:12:09 | 2.54 | 2.78 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-19 00:42:55 | 2.54 | 2.74 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-19 00:42:56 | 2.54 | 2.83 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-19 01:12:23 | 2.54 | 2.74 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-19 01:12:24 | 2.54 | 2.83 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-19 01:42:38 | 2.54 | 2.78 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-19 02:12:24 | 2.54 | 2.78 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-19 02:42:40 | 2.54 | 2.77 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-19 02:42:41 | 2.55 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-19 03:12:10 | 2.54 | 2.78 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-19 03:42:18 | 2.54 | 2.78 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-19 04:12:07 | 2.54 | 2.78 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-19 04:52:22 | 2.54 | 2.78 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-19 05:32:21 | 2.54 | 2.78 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-19 06:12:23 | 2.54 | 2.78 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-19 06:52:21 | 2.54 | 2.78 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-19 07:32:30 | 2.55 | 2.75 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-19 08:12:21 | 2.54 | 2.73 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-19 08:12:22 | 2.57 | 2.78 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-19 08:52:16 | 2.55 | 2.75 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-19 09:32:27 | 2.55 | 2.75 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-19 10:12:11 | 2.55 | 2.75 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-19 10:52:17 | 2.60 | 2.66 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-19 10:52:18 | 2.56 | 2.74 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-19 11:32:39 | 2.58 | 2.69 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-19 11:32:40 | 2.57 | 2.76 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-19 12:12:12 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-19 12:52:58 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-19 13:32:39 | 2.60 | 2.66 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-19 13:32:40 | 2.55 | 2.75 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-19 14:12:17 | 2.57 | 2.72 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-19 14:52:48 | 2.56 | 2.69 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-19 14:52:49 | 2.58 | 2.76 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-19 15:32:40 | 2.57 | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-19 15:32:41 | 2.57 | 2.76 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-19 16:12:58 | 2.60 | 2.66 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-19 16:12:59 | 2.55 | 2.75 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-19 16:52:40 | 2.57 | 2.72 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-19 17:33:38 | 2.57 | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-19 17:33:39 | 2.57 | 2.76 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-19 18:13:15 | 2.57 | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-19 18:13:16 | 2.57 | 2.76 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-19 18:53:06 | 2.57 | 2.72 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-19 19:32:55 | 2.60 | 2.62 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-19 19:32:56 | 2.59 | 2.73 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-19 20:12:46 | 2.60 | 2.70 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-19 20:12:47 | 2.58 | 2.75 | 3.09 |
| 2026-09-19 20:52:45 | 2.60 | 2.66 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-19 20:52:46 | 2.58 | 2.76 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-19 21:32:41 | 2.60 | 2.70 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-19 21:32:42 | 2.58 | 2.75 | 3.09 |
| 2026-09-19 22:12:37 | 2.59 | 2.71 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-19 22:52:41 | 2.59 | 2.70 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-19 22:52:42 | 2.56 | 2.75 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-19 23:32:36 | 2.59 | 2.70 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-19 23:32:37 | 2.56 | 2.75 | 3.10 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 4 : 2 | San Martin Tucuman |
| 2026.05.03 | San Martin Tucuman | 2 : 1 | Atletico DE Rafaela |