경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primera Nacional
Argentina · Regular Season - 30

Chacarita JuniorsHOME · 2.62
3 : 02026.09.21 · 종료
QuilmesAWAY · 2.75

HOME · 현재 순위
17위
승점 27
· 29경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
12위
승점 35
· 29경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME30.5%
DRAW33.0%
AWAY36.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH80 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME34.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승31.4%표본 70경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.0%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW2.62 → 2.62배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:52:56
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Chacarita JuniorsL · 1-0L · 0-1L · 1-0L · 1-2D · 0-0
QuilmesW · 1-0L · 1-0L · 0-1L · 1-0W · 3-0
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME67 SNAPSHOTS
+0.03%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW67 SNAPSHOTS
+2.50%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY67 SNAPSHOTS
-4.72%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-19 00:15:11 | 2.64 | 2.72 | 2.89 |
| 2026-09-20 00:12:51 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-20 00:43:06 | 2.62 | 2.70 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-20 00:43:07 | 2.57 | 2.71 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-20 01:12:54 | 2.58 | 2.73 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 01:12:55 | 2.60 | 2.67 | 3.07 |
| 2026-09-20 01:42:30 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-20 02:12:58 | 2.62 | 2.70 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-20 02:12:59 | 2.57 | 2.71 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-20 02:42:32 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-20 03:12:59 | 2.62 | 2.70 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-20 03:13:00 | 2.57 | 2.71 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-20 03:42:19 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-20 04:12:47 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-20 04:42:10 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-20 05:12:43 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-20 05:42:30 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-20 06:12:47 | 2.62 | 2.70 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-20 06:12:48 | 2.57 | 2.71 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-20 06:43:07 | 2.62 | 2.60 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-20 06:43:08 | 2.58 | 2.73 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 07:12:49 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-20 07:52:34 | 2.61 | 2.71 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-20 07:52:35 | 2.58 | 2.74 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-20 08:32:59 | 2.57 | 2.74 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 08:33:00 | 2.63 | 2.71 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-20 09:12:21 | 2.55 | 2.70 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-20 09:12:22 | 2.62 | 2.76 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-20 09:52:23 | 2.58 | 2.73 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-20 10:32:34 | 2.58 | 2.68 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-20 10:32:35 | 2.58 | 2.76 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-20 11:12:21 | 2.55 | 2.73 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-20 11:12:22 | 2.64 | 2.72 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-20 11:52:13 | 2.58 | 2.73 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-20 12:32:56 | 2.57 | 2.72 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 12:32:57 | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.82 |
| 2026-09-20 13:12:16 | 2.58 | 2.73 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-20 13:52:28 | 2.59 | 2.70 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-20 13:52:29 | 2.58 | 2.74 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-20 14:32:29 | 2.62 | 2.60 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-20 14:32:30 | 2.57 | 2.75 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-20 15:12:31 | 2.58 | 2.73 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 15:42:20 | 2.58 | 2.73 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 16:12:34 | 2.58 | 2.73 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 16:42:53 | 2.55 | 2.73 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-20 17:13:12 | 2.55 | 2.73 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-20 17:42:53 | 2.55 | 2.73 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-20 18:13:05 | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-20 18:13:06 | 2.55 | 2.73 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-20 18:53:24 | 2.56 | 2.68 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 18:53:25 | 2.55 | 2.75 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-20 19:33:20 | 2.56 | 2.74 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-20 19:33:21 | 2.58 | 2.70 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-20 20:12:41 | 2.53 | 2.70 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 20:12:42 | 2.59 | 2.75 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-20 20:53:10 | 2.60 | 2.62 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-20 20:53:11 | 2.56 | 2.74 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-20 21:22:47 | 2.57 | 2.73 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-20 21:53:03 | 2.55 | 2.73 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-20 21:53:04 | 2.63 | 2.71 | 2.86 |
| 2026-09-20 22:23:15 | 2.56 | 2.74 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-20 22:23:16 | 2.58 | 2.70 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-20 22:53:06 | 2.64 | 2.82 | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-20 23:23:04 | 2.69 | 2.83 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-20 23:23:05 | 2.62 | 2.82 | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-20 23:52:55 | 2.64 | 2.83 | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-20 23:52:56 | 2.65 | 2.79 | 2.76 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.21 | Chacarita Juniors | 3 : 0 | Quilmes |
| 2026.05.05 | Quilmes | 0 : 0 | Chacarita Juniors |