경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Primera Nacional Argentina · Regular Season - 29

Defensores De BelgranoHOME · 2.10

2 : 12026.09.15 · 종료

Deportivo MadrynAWAY · 3.80

HOME · 현재 순위 16위 승점 30 · 28경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 46 · 28경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME16.0%

DRAW23.0%

AWAY61.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM78 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +36.9%

VALUE EDGE+36.9%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM EVEN -1.4%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -5.6%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -22.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -24.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -14.9%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Defensores De Belgrano분석 지표Deportivo Madryn

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

0.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.50

20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

5.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

78/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.0 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME43.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승27.3%표본 33경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승37.5%표본 8경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 +0.2%

OPEN → NOW2.10 → 2.10배당 업데이트 2026-09-14 23:52:07

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

16.0%

DRAW

23.0%

AWAY

61.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Defensores De Belgrano

D · 1-1W · 3-0L · 1-0L · 0-2D · 0-0

Deportivo Madryn

W · 3-1L · 1-0W · 2-0W · 4-0D · 2-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.12

→

CURRENT2.11

-0.26%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.82

→

CURRENT2.82

-0.16%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.90

→

CURRENT3.74

-3.99%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-14 13:02:13	2.12	2.82	3.90
2026-09-14 13:12:10	2.11	2.81	3.75
2026-09-14 13:22:13	2.11	2.81	3.75
2026-09-14 13:32:17	2.15	2.75	3.80
2026-09-14 13:32:18	2.10	2.82	3.75
2026-09-14 13:42:05	2.11	2.81	3.75
2026-09-14 13:52:11	2.11	2.81	3.75
2026-09-14 14:02:12	2.11	2.81	3.75
2026-09-14 14:12:07	2.11	2.81	3.75
2026-09-14 14:22:11	2.11	2.81	3.75
2026-09-14 14:32:16	2.11	2.81	3.75
2026-09-14 14:42:11	2.11	2.81	3.75
2026-09-14 14:52:15	2.11	2.80	3.82
2026-09-14 14:52:16	2.11	2.82	3.72
2026-09-14 15:02:18	2.11	2.81	3.75
2026-09-14 15:12:06	2.11	2.81	3.75
2026-09-14 15:22:15	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 15:32:18	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 15:42:08	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 15:52:13	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 16:02:15	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 16:12:06	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 16:22:15	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 16:32:16	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 16:42:05	2.09	2.82	3.76
2026-09-14 16:42:06	2.13	2.81	3.73
2026-09-14 16:52:12	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 17:02:12	2.15	2.75	3.80
2026-09-14 17:02:13	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 17:12:10	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 17:22:13	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 17:32:21	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 17:42:06	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 17:52:11	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 18:02:17	2.11	2.80	3.82
2026-09-14 18:02:18	2.12	2.82	3.71
2026-09-14 18:12:09	2.11	2.81	3.74
2026-09-14 18:22:20	2.11	2.80	3.82
2026-09-14 18:22:21	2.12	2.82	3.71
2026-09-14 18:32:29	2.11	2.80	3.82
2026-09-14 18:32:30	2.11	2.82	3.69
2026-09-14 18:32:31	2.18	2.82	3.80
2026-09-14 18:42:05	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 18:52:13	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 19:02:14	2.15	2.75	3.80
2026-09-14 19:02:15	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 19:12:10	2.09	2.82	3.76
2026-09-14 19:12:11	2.13	2.81	3.73
2026-09-14 19:22:24	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 19:32:32	2.10	2.84	3.76
2026-09-14 19:32:33	2.13	2.79	3.73
2026-09-14 19:42:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 19:52:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 20:02:05	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 20:12:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 20:22:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 20:32:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 20:42:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 20:52:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 21:02:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 21:12:05	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 21:22:05	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 21:22:06	2.18	2.82	3.80
2026-09-14 21:32:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 21:42:05	2.11	2.80	3.82
2026-09-14 21:42:06	2.12	2.82	3.71
2026-09-14 21:52:07	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 22:02:05	2.13	2.82	3.85
2026-09-14 22:02:06	2.11	2.82	3.71
2026-09-14 22:12:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 22:22:13	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 22:32:05	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 22:42:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 22:52:07	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 23:02:05	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 23:12:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 23:22:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 23:32:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 23:42:06	2.11	2.82	3.74
2026-09-14 23:52:07	2.11	2.82	3.74

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.15	Defensores De Belgrano	2 : 1	Deportivo Madryn
2026.04.27	Deportivo Madryn	2 : 1	Defensores De Belgrano