경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primera Nacional
Argentina · Regular Season - 28
Deportivo MadrynHOME · 1.67
3 : 12026.09.07 · 종료
Ciudad de BolívarAWAY · 5.53
HOME · 현재 순위
5위
승점 43
· 27경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
7위
승점 38
· 27경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.7%
DRAW32.9%
AWAY23.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME54.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승53.1%표본 32경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.3%현재 이동 +0.6%
OPEN → NOW1.66 → 1.67배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:42:23
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Deportivo MadrynL · 1-0W · 2-0W · 4-0D · 2-2W · 0-1
Ciudad de BolívarW · 1-0D · 1-1L · 1-0L · 2-0L · 0-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME62 SNAPSHOTS
+0.38%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW62 SNAPSHOTS
+0.66%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY62 SNAPSHOTS
+2.39%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-05 00:15:09 | 1.67 | 3.21 | 5.34 |
| 2026-09-05 12:15:11 | 1.66 | 3.22 | 5.58 |
| 2026-09-06 00:02:25 | 1.67 | 3.21 | 5.58 |
| 2026-09-06 00:32:30 | 1.67 | 3.21 | 5.58 |
| 2026-09-06 01:02:08 | 1.67 | 3.21 | 5.58 |
| 2026-09-06 03:02:27 | 1.70 | 3.10 | 5.50 |
| 2026-09-06 03:02:28 | 1.66 | 3.23 | 5.59 |
| 2026-09-06 03:32:22 | 1.67 | 3.21 | 5.58 |
| 2026-09-06 04:02:16 | 1.67 | 3.21 | 5.58 |
| 2026-09-06 04:32:23 | 1.67 | 3.21 | 5.58 |
| 2026-09-06 05:02:18 | 1.67 | 3.21 | 5.58 |
| 2026-09-06 05:32:25 | 1.67 | 3.21 | 5.58 |
| 2026-09-06 06:02:17 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 06:32:26 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 07:02:21 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 07:32:29 | 1.67 | 3.20 | 5.59 |
| 2026-09-06 07:32:30 | 1.68 | 3.26 | 5.62 |
| 2026-09-06 08:02:19 | 1.67 | 3.20 | 5.59 |
| 2026-09-06 08:02:20 | 1.68 | 3.26 | 5.62 |
| 2026-09-06 08:32:32 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 09:02:15 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 09:32:29 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 10:02:09 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 10:32:21 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 11:02:19 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 11:32:27 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 12:02:14 | 1.68 | 3.18 | 5.63 |
| 2026-09-06 12:02:15 | 1.67 | 3.24 | 5.58 |
| 2026-09-06 12:32:35 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 13:02:18 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 13:32:30 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 14:02:32 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 14:32:24 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 15:02:29 | 1.67 | 3.23 | 5.63 |
| 2026-09-06 15:02:30 | 1.67 | 3.15 | 5.45 |
| 2026-09-06 15:32:13 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 16:02:29 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 16:02:31 | 1.67 | 3.17 | 5.53 |
| 2026-09-06 16:02:32 | 1.68 | 3.27 | 5.66 |
| 2026-09-06 16:32:33 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 16:32:36 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 17:02:21 | 1.67 | 3.23 | 5.63 |
| 2026-09-06 17:02:22 | 1.67 | 3.16 | 5.51 |
| 2026-09-06 17:02:23 | 1.68 | 3.27 | 5.66 |
| 2026-09-06 17:32:40 | 1.70 | 3.10 | 5.50 |
| 2026-09-06 17:32:41 | 1.67 | 3.24 | 5.62 |
| 2026-09-06 17:32:44 | 1.67 | 3.23 | 5.63 |
| 2026-09-06 17:32:45 | 1.67 | 3.15 | 5.45 |
| 2026-09-06 18:02:22 | 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.60 |
| 2026-09-06 18:33:00 | 1.67 | 3.20 | 5.59 |
| 2026-09-06 18:33:01 | 1.68 | 3.26 | 5.62 |
| 2026-09-06 19:12:30 | 1.67 | 3.25 | 5.56 |
| 2026-09-06 19:52:59 | 1.67 | 3.25 | 5.56 |
| 2026-09-06 20:32:29 | 1.67 | 3.25 | 5.56 |
| 2026-09-06 21:12:28 | 1.67 | 3.25 | 5.56 |
| 2026-09-06 21:42:25 | 1.68 | 3.23 | 5.63 |
| 2026-09-06 21:42:26 | 1.67 | 3.27 | 5.53 |
| 2026-09-06 22:12:31 | 1.73 | 3.10 | 5.00 |
| 2026-09-06 22:12:32 | 1.67 | 3.26 | 5.56 |
| 2026-09-06 22:42:27 | 1.68 | 3.24 | 5.47 |
| 2026-09-06 23:12:27 | 1.68 | 3.24 | 5.47 |
| 2026-09-06 23:42:23 | 1.68 | 3.24 | 5.47 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.07 | Deportivo Madryn | 3 : 1 | Ciudad de Bolívar |
| 2026.04.19 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 1 : 0 | Deportivo Madryn |