경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Primera Nacional Argentina · Regular Season - 28

Nueva ChicagoHOME · 2.90

1 : 02026.09.08 · 종료

QuilmesAWAY · 2.50

HOME · 현재 순위 16위 승점 29 · 27경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 32 · 27경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.5%

DRAW28.6%

AWAY25.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 39.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +13.8%

VALUE EDGE+13.8%

FAIR ODDS2.20

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 86/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +33.0%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +30.6%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -5.2%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -5.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +5.5%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Nueva Chicago분석 지표Quilmes

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

0.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.92

20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

9.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도8.5 / 15

예측 분리도7.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME31.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승32.7%표본 55경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승35.7%현재 이동 +13.7%

OPEN → NOW2.55 → 2.90배당 업데이트 2026-09-07 23:52:04

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

45.5%

DRAW

28.6%

AWAY

25.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Nueva Chicago

L · 2-0L · 0-1L · 1-0L · 2-0W · 2-1

Quilmes

L · 0-1L · 1-0W · 3-0D · 1-1W · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.56

→

CURRENT2.89

+12.95%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.86

→

CURRENT2.88

+0.65%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.91

→

CURRENT2.52

-13.39%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-07 12:22:03	2.56	2.86	2.91
2026-09-07 12:32:02	2.56	2.86	2.91
2026-09-07 12:42:02	2.56	2.86	2.91
2026-09-07 12:52:03	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 13:02:03	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 13:12:03	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 13:22:02	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 13:32:02	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 13:42:02	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 13:52:03	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 14:02:02	2.53	2.83	2.90
2026-09-07 14:02:03	2.54	2.89	2.93
2026-09-07 14:12:02	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 14:22:02	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 14:32:03	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 14:42:02	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 14:52:02	2.50	2.75	2.90
2026-09-07 14:52:03	2.54	2.89	2.92
2026-09-07 15:02:02	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 15:12:02	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 15:22:03	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 15:32:03	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 15:42:02	2.54	2.87	2.92
2026-09-07 15:42:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 15:52:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 16:02:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 16:12:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 16:22:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 16:32:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 16:42:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 16:52:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 17:02:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 17:12:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 17:22:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 17:32:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 17:42:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 17:52:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 18:02:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 18:12:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 18:22:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 18:32:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 18:42:03	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 18:52:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 19:02:05	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 19:12:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 19:22:05	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 19:32:05	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 19:42:03	2.53	2.85	2.89
2026-09-07 19:42:04	2.56	2.84	2.94
2026-09-07 19:52:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 20:02:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 20:12:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 20:22:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 20:32:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 20:42:03	2.53	2.85	2.89
2026-09-07 20:42:04	2.56	2.84	2.94
2026-09-07 20:52:04	2.53	2.85	2.89
2026-09-07 20:52:05	2.57	2.83	2.93
2026-09-07 21:02:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 21:12:03	2.53	2.85	2.89
2026-09-07 21:12:04	2.56	2.84	2.94
2026-09-07 21:22:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 21:32:04	2.54	2.85	2.90
2026-09-07 21:42:04	2.89	2.88	2.52
2026-09-07 21:52:05	2.89	2.88	2.52
2026-09-07 22:02:04	2.89	2.88	2.52
2026-09-07 22:12:04	2.89	2.88	2.52
2026-09-07 22:22:05	2.89	2.88	2.52
2026-09-07 22:32:05	2.89	2.88	2.52
2026-09-07 22:42:05	2.89	2.88	2.52
2026-09-07 22:52:05	2.89	2.90	2.54
2026-09-07 22:52:06	2.89	2.85	2.49
2026-09-07 23:02:03	2.91	2.83	2.48
2026-09-07 23:02:04	2.88	2.89	2.53
2026-09-07 23:12:04	2.89	2.88	2.52
2026-09-07 23:22:05	2.89	2.88	2.52
2026-09-07 23:32:04	2.89	2.88	2.52
2026-09-07 23:42:03	2.86	2.85	2.53
2026-09-07 23:42:04	2.91	2.89	2.51
2026-09-07 23:52:04	2.89	2.88	2.52

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.08	Nueva Chicago	1 : 0	Quilmes
2026.04.19	Quilmes	0 : 0	Nueva Chicago