Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
ChibaHOME · -
90 : 792016.04.30 · 종료
TsukubaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.7%
VALUE EDGE+75.7%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADES
ChibaAnalysis MetricsTsukuba
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-6.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.17
177.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.00
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chiba
L · 104-57L · 88-76L · 87-78L · 88-81L · 66-78
Tsukuba
L · 62-84L · 78-93W · 89-84L · 77-64L · 80-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.30 | Chiba | 90 : 79 | Tsukuba |
| 2016.03.27 | Chiba | 85 : 71 | Tsukuba |
| 2015.12.06 | Tsukuba | 74 : 72 | Chiba |
| 2015.12.05 | Tsukuba | 50 : 72 | Chiba |
| 2015.05.03 | Chiba | 82 : 57 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.12.07 | Tsukuba | 71 : 84 | Chiba |
| 2014.12.06 | Tsukuba | 50 : 79 | Chiba |
| 2014.10.19 | Chiba | 91 : 78 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.10.18 | Chiba | 78 : 59 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.03.02 | Chiba | 82 : 78 | Tsukuba |