Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan

AlvarkHOME · -
91 : 692016.04.30 · 종료
KobeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.6%
VALUE EDGE+82.6%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsKobe
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+10.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.00
176.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 62-84W · 78-64W · 90-86W · 87-78W · 88-81
Kobe
L · 107-89L · 96-65L · 88-81W · 78-93L · 89-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.30 | Alvark | 91 : 69 | Kobe |
| 2016.02.07 | Kobe | 59 : 99 | Alvark |
| 2016.02.06 | Kobe | 83 : 102 | Alvark |
| 2015.10.18 | Alvark | 103 : 61 | Kobe |
| 2015.10.17 | Alvark | 81 : 78 | Kobe |
| 2015.03.15 | Alvark | 81 : 76 | Kobe |
| 2015.03.14 | Alvark | 93 : 59 | Kobe |
| 2014.10.26 | Kobe | 74 : 81 | Alvark |
| 2014.10.25 | Kobe | 66 : 94 | Alvark |
| 2014.03.09 | Kobe | 73 : 95 | Alvark |