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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
91 : 692016.04.30 · 종료
KobeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 83.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +82.6%
VALUE EDGE+82.6%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsKobe
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+10.58 Point MarginHigher is better -6.00
176.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.00
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
82.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
17.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 62-84W · 78-64W · 90-86W · 87-78W · 88-81
Kobe
L · 107-89L · 96-65L · 88-81W · 78-93L · 89-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.30Alvark91 : 69Kobe
2016.02.07Kobe59 : 99Alvark
2016.02.06Kobe83 : 102Alvark
2015.10.18Alvark103 : 61Kobe
2015.10.17Alvark81 : 78Kobe
2015.03.15Alvark81 : 76Kobe
2015.03.14Alvark93 : 59Kobe
2014.10.26Kobe74 : 81Alvark
2014.10.25Kobe66 : 94Alvark
2014.03.09Kobe73 : 95Alvark