Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
TsukubaHOME · -
62 : 842016.04.29 · 종료
AlvarkAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME16.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY83.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+83.2%
VALUE EDGE+83.2%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADES
TsukubaAnalysis MetricsAlvark
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-11.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.58
158.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.08
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
12.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tsukuba
L · 78-93W · 89-84L · 77-64L · 80-67L · 75-94
Alvark
W · 78-64W · 90-86W · 87-78W · 88-81W · 51-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.29 | Tsukuba | 62 : 84 | Alvark |
| 2016.02.14 | Alvark | 108 : 63 | Tsukuba |
| 2016.02.13 | Alvark | 88 : 55 | Tsukuba |
| 2015.10.25 | Tsukuba | 66 : 101 | Alvark |
| 2015.10.24 | Tsukuba | 63 : 88 | Alvark |
| 2015.03.25 | Tsukuba | 51 : 89 | Alvark |
| 2014.11.30 | Alvark | 70 : 68 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.11.29 | Alvark | 87 : 59 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.10.12 | Tsukuba | 59 : 95 | Alvark |
| 2014.10.11 | Tsukuba | 62 : 82 | Alvark |