Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
90 : 862016.04.23 · 종료
Sun RockersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.6%
VALUE EDGE+61.6%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsSun Rockers
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+11.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.00
174.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.33
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 87-78W · 88-81W · 51-80W · 49-82W · 70-72
Sun Rockers
W · 65-69L · 73-60L · 65-72W · 75-94W · 73-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.24 | Alvark | 78 : 64 | Sun Rockers |
| 2016.04.23 | Alvark | 90 : 86 | Sun Rockers |
| 2016.01.24 | Sun Rockers | 71 : 83 | Alvark |
| 2016.01.23 | Sun Rockers | 71 : 85 | Alvark |
| 2015.12.23 | Sun Rockers | 71 : 76 | Alvark |
| 2015.05.18 | Sun Rockers | 72 : 81 | Alvark |
| 2015.05.17 | Sun Rockers | 73 : 67 | Alvark |
| 2015.05.16 | Sun Rockers | 71 : 80 | Alvark |
| 2015.04.29 | Sun Rockers | 63 : 75 | Alvark |
| 2015.02.01 | Sun Rockers | 81 : 69 | Alvark |