Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
Brave ThundersHOME · -
104 : 572016.04.23 · 종료
ChibaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.4%
VALUE EDGE+68.4%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Brave ThundersAnalysis MetricsChiba
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.83
163.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
179.67
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brave Thunders
W · 88-76W · 98-75W · 73-70W · 70-59W · 73-66
Chiba
L · 88-76L · 87-78L · 88-81L · 66-78L · 79-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.30 | Chiba | 104 : 68 | Brave Thunders |
| 2025.03.29 | Chiba | 90 : 84 | Brave Thunders |
| 2024.03.31 | Chiba | 95 : 71 | Brave Thunders |
| 2024.03.30 | Chiba | 91 : 77 | Brave Thunders |
| 2022.12.25 | Chiba | 86 : 71 | Brave Thunders |
| 2022.12.24 | Chiba | 89 : 85 | Brave Thunders |
| 2016.04.23 | Brave Thunders | 104 : 57 | Chiba |
| 2016.04.22 | Brave Thunders | 88 : 76 | Chiba |
| 2016.01.24 | Chiba | 70 : 93 | Brave Thunders |
| 2016.01.23 | Chiba | 51 : 56 | Brave Thunders |