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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Japan
Brave ThundersHOME · -
88 : 762016.04.22 · 종료
ChibaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.1%
VALUE EDGE+68.1%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Brave ThundersAnalysis MetricsChiba
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -5.83
163.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 179.67
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brave Thunders
W · 98-75W · 73-70W · 70-59W · 73-66W · 88-75
Chiba
L · 87-78L · 88-81L · 66-78L · 79-90L · 82-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.30Chiba104 : 68Brave Thunders
2025.03.29Chiba90 : 84Brave Thunders
2024.03.31Chiba95 : 71Brave Thunders
2024.03.30Chiba91 : 77Brave Thunders
2022.12.25Chiba86 : 71Brave Thunders
2022.12.24Chiba89 : 85Brave Thunders
2016.04.23Brave Thunders104 : 57Chiba
2016.04.22Brave Thunders88 : 76Chiba
2016.01.24Chiba70 : 93Brave Thunders
2016.01.23Chiba51 : 56Brave Thunders