Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
88 : 812016.04.16 · 종료
ChibaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.4%
VALUE EDGE+71.4%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsChiba
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+11.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.83
174.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
179.67
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 51-80W · 49-82W · 70-72W · 80-89W · 78-90
Chiba
L · 66-78L · 79-90L · 82-77L · 91-79W · 85-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.04 | Chiba | 71 : 96 | Alvark |
| 2025.05.11 | Alvark | 65 : 92 | Chiba |
| 2025.05.10 | Alvark | 53 : 78 | Chiba |
| 2025.04.06 | Alvark | 75 : 72 | Chiba |
| 2025.04.05 | Alvark | 86 : 81 | Chiba |
| 2024.04.17 | Alvark | 78 : 67 | Chiba |
| 2024.03.24 | Alvark | 69 : 70 | Chiba |
| 2024.03.23 | Alvark | 81 : 62 | Chiba |
| 2024.01.31 | Chiba | 75 : 74 | Alvark |
| 2023.05.21 | Chiba | 93 : 62 | Alvark |