Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
KumamotoHOME · -
49 : 822016.04.09 · 종료
AlvarkAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME16.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY83.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+83.2%
VALUE EDGE+83.2%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEA
KumamotoAnalysis MetricsAlvark
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-1.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.33
168.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.33
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kumamoto
L · 90-64L · 88-61W · 73-69L · 70-74W · 74-77
Alvark
W · 70-72W · 80-89W · 78-90W · 67-81L · 64-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.10 | Kumamoto | 51 : 80 | Alvark |
| 2016.04.09 | Kumamoto | 49 : 82 | Alvark |
| 2016.02.11 | Kumamoto | 60 : 73 | Alvark |
| 2015.12.20 | Alvark | 61 : 80 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.12.19 | Alvark | 90 : 72 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.04.25 | Alvark | 79 : 61 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.04.24 | Alvark | 90 : 47 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.03.08 | Kumamoto | 76 : 105 | Alvark |
| 2015.03.07 | Kumamoto | 52 : 105 | Alvark |
| 2014.03.16 | Alvark | 104 : 70 | Kumamoto |