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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Japan
HokkaidoHOME · -
80 : 672016.04.09 · 종료
TsukubaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 83.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.8%
VALUE EDGE+80.8%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADES
HokkaidoAnalysis MetricsTsukuba
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-5.42 Point MarginHigher is better -12.00
157.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.83
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hokkaido
W · 71-82W · 72-75L · 53-63L · 68-80W · 72-62
Tsukuba
L · 75-94L · 73-81L · 85-71L · 74-77L · 70-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.10Hokkaido77 : 64Tsukuba
2016.04.09Hokkaido80 : 67Tsukuba
2015.12.20Tsukuba56 : 75Hokkaido
2015.12.19Tsukuba81 : 90Hokkaido
2015.11.21Tsukuba56 : 71Hokkaido
2015.01.31Tsukuba63 : 93Hokkaido
2015.01.30Tsukuba60 : 70Hokkaido
2014.12.23Hokkaido94 : 43Tsukuba
2014.11.23Hokkaido84 : 72Tsukuba
2014.11.22Hokkaido81 : 60Tsukuba