Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
ChibaHOME · -
85 : 712016.03.27 · 종료
TsukubaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.2%
VALUE EDGE+76.2%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADES
ChibaAnalysis MetricsTsukuba
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-5.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.92
179.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.08
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chiba
W · 66-70W · 65-72W · 85-86L · 59-77W · 85-59
Tsukuba
L · 74-77L · 70-81W · 70-63W · 83-82L · 83-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.30 | Chiba | 90 : 79 | Tsukuba |
| 2016.03.27 | Chiba | 85 : 71 | Tsukuba |
| 2015.12.06 | Tsukuba | 74 : 72 | Chiba |
| 2015.12.05 | Tsukuba | 50 : 72 | Chiba |
| 2015.05.03 | Chiba | 82 : 57 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.12.07 | Tsukuba | 71 : 84 | Chiba |
| 2014.12.06 | Tsukuba | 50 : 79 | Chiba |
| 2014.10.19 | Chiba | 91 : 78 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.10.18 | Chiba | 78 : 59 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.03.02 | Chiba | 82 : 78 | Tsukuba |