Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
69 : 872016.03.19 · 종료
SeaHorses MikawaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.8%
VALUE EDGE+68.8%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsSeaHorses Mikawa
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+11.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.08
174.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.58
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
1.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 78-61W · 58-78L · 77-63W · 66-57L · 63-72
SeaHorses Mikawa
L · 72-74L · 73-74L · 59-94L · 82-76W · 72-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.24 | Alvark | 82 : 91 | SeaHorses Mikawa |
| 2025.04.16 | Alvark | 73 : 67 | SeaHorses Mikawa |
| 2025.01.29 | SeaHorses Mikawa | 65 : 87 | Alvark |
| 2024.11.03 | SeaHorses Mikawa | 76 : 65 | Alvark |
| 2024.11.02 | SeaHorses Mikawa | 59 : 78 | Alvark |
| 2024.04.07 | Alvark | 65 : 61 | SeaHorses Mikawa |
| 2024.04.06 | Alvark | 57 : 69 | SeaHorses Mikawa |
| 2023.04.02 | SeaHorses Mikawa | 80 : 67 | Alvark |
| 2023.04.01 | SeaHorses Mikawa | 83 : 81 | Alvark |
| 2016.05.22 | Alvark | 79 : 84 | SeaHorses Mikawa |