Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
78 : 612016.03.17 · 종료
Utsunomiya BrexAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.7%
VALUE EDGE+62.7%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADES
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsUtsunomiya Brex
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+11.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.67
174.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.33
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
5.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation10.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 58-78L · 77-63W · 66-57L · 63-72W · 66-77
Utsunomiya Brex
W · 73-74W · 59-94W · 81-69W · 83-69L · 66-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | Alvark | 106 : 71 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 2026.10.31 | Alvark | 100 : 90 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 2025.04.23 | Utsunomiya Brex | 61 : 55 | Alvark |
| 2025.03.05 | Alvark | 63 : 61 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 2024.04.21 | Utsunomiya Brex | 61 : 70 | Alvark |
| 2024.04.20 | Utsunomiya Brex | 80 : 76 | Alvark |
| 2023.10.15 | Alvark | 70 : 71 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 2023.10.14 | Alvark | 75 : 60 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 2023.04.05 | Alvark | 81 : 67 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 2022.12.28 | Utsunomiya Brex | 69 : 82 | Alvark |