Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
TsukubaHOME · -
70 : 632016.03.16 · 종료
KumamotoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.2%
VALUE EDGE+58.2%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADES
TsukubaAnalysis MetricsKumamoto
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-12.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.92
158.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.42
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
10.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation7.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tsukuba
W · 83-82L · 83-64L · 72-61L · 77-85L · 108-63
Kumamoto
W · 98-71L · 67-86L · 74-63L · 68-57L · 72-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.20 | Tsukuba | 74 : 77 | Kumamoto |
| 2016.03.19 | Tsukuba | 70 : 81 | Kumamoto |
| 2016.03.16 | Tsukuba | 70 : 63 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.11.29 | Kumamoto | 76 : 81 | Tsukuba |
| 2015.11.28 | Kumamoto | 68 : 63 | Tsukuba |
| 2015.03.29 | Tsukuba | 77 : 67 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.03.28 | Tsukuba | 70 : 79 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.02.08 | Kumamoto | 76 : 64 | Tsukuba |
| 2015.02.07 | Kumamoto | 90 : 94 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.04.27 | Tsukuba | 98 : 71 | Kumamoto |