Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
ChibaHOME · -
85 : 592016.03.12 · 종료
HokkaidoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.0%
VALUE EDGE+52.0%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADEA
ChibaAnalysis MetricsHokkaido
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.42
179.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.25
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation1.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chiba
W · 60-73L · 79-74L · 69-64L · 61-51W · 81-76
Hokkaido
W · 74-63W · 68-57W · 69-64W · 61-51W · 63-58
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.20 | Hokkaido | 81 : 108 | Chiba |
| 2025.04.19 | Hokkaido | 81 : 88 | Chiba |
| 2025.01.05 | Chiba | 64 : 70 | Hokkaido |
| 2025.01.04 | Chiba | 75 : 67 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.02.07 | Chiba | 77 : 58 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.01.21 | Chiba | 89 : 82 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.01.20 | Chiba | 98 : 79 | Hokkaido |
| 2023.10.25 | Hokkaido | 77 : 82 | Chiba |
| 2023.04.16 | Chiba | 80 : 54 | Hokkaido |
| 2023.04.15 | Chiba | 96 : 71 | Hokkaido |