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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Japan
Utsunomiya BrexHOME · -
83 : 692016.03.05 · 종료
Brave ThundersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +53.7%
VALUE EDGE+53.7%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Utsunomiya BrexAnalysis MetricsBrave Thunders
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-4.67 Point MarginHigher is better -2.25
167.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation3.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
53.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
46.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Utsunomiya Brex
L · 66-57W · 63-72W · 89-63W · 73-58W · 69-107
Brave Thunders
L · 74-78W · 90-82W · 77-85L · 89-99W · 104-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.26Utsunomiya Brex89 : 92Brave Thunders
2025.02.09Utsunomiya Brex94 : 74Brave Thunders
2025.02.08Utsunomiya Brex92 : 75Brave Thunders
2023.12.10Utsunomiya Brex76 : 74Brave Thunders
2022.12.17Brave Thunders70 : 66Utsunomiya Brex
2022.12.16Brave Thunders97 : 86Utsunomiya Brex
2016.05.23Utsunomiya Brex60 : 69Brave Thunders
2016.05.22Utsunomiya Brex69 : 76Brave Thunders
2016.05.21Utsunomiya Brex76 : 55Brave Thunders
2016.05.04Brave Thunders76 : 66Utsunomiya Brex