Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
HokkaidoHOME · -
68 : 572016.03.05 · 종료
KumamotoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.1%
VALUE EDGE+62.1%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
HokkaidoAnalysis MetricsKumamoto
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.92
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.42
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hokkaido
W · 69-64W · 61-51W · 63-58W · 61-59W · 61-68
Kumamoto
L · 72-87L · 64-68L · 81-76L · 71-62L · 60-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.06 | Hokkaido | 74 : 63 | Kumamoto |
| 2016.03.05 | Hokkaido | 68 : 57 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.12.23 | Kumamoto | 70 : 62 | Hokkaido |
| 2015.11.15 | Kumamoto | 58 : 68 | Hokkaido |
| 2015.11.14 | Kumamoto | 67 : 87 | Hokkaido |
| 2015.04.12 | Hokkaido | 87 : 77 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.04.11 | Hokkaido | 84 : 82 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.02.22 | Kumamoto | 70 : 78 | Hokkaido |
| 2015.02.21 | Kumamoto | 80 : 83 | Hokkaido |
| 2014.03.23 | Kumamoto | 63 : 109 | Hokkaido |