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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Japan
HokkaidoHOME · -
68 : 572016.03.05 · 종료
KumamotoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.1%
VALUE EDGE+62.1%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
HokkaidoAnalysis MetricsKumamoto
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-5.42 Point MarginHigher is better -1.92
157.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.42
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hokkaido
W · 69-64W · 61-51W · 63-58W · 61-59W · 61-68
Kumamoto
L · 72-87L · 64-68L · 81-76L · 71-62L · 60-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.06Hokkaido74 : 63Kumamoto
2016.03.05Hokkaido68 : 57Kumamoto
2015.12.23Kumamoto70 : 62Hokkaido
2015.11.15Kumamoto58 : 68Hokkaido
2015.11.14Kumamoto67 : 87Hokkaido
2015.04.12Hokkaido87 : 77Kumamoto
2015.04.11Hokkaido84 : 82Kumamoto
2015.02.22Kumamoto70 : 78Hokkaido
2015.02.21Kumamoto80 : 83Hokkaido
2014.03.23Kumamoto63 : 109Hokkaido