Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
HokkaidoHOME · -
61 : 512016.02.27 · 종료
ChibaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.0%
VALUE EDGE+53.0%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
HokkaidoAnalysis MetricsChiba
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.83
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
179.67
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hokkaido
W · 63-58W · 61-59W · 61-68L · 65-85L · 66-74
Chiba
W · 81-76W · 71-62L · 73-70W · 70-69L · 71-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.20 | Hokkaido | 81 : 108 | Chiba |
| 2025.04.19 | Hokkaido | 81 : 88 | Chiba |
| 2025.01.05 | Chiba | 64 : 70 | Hokkaido |
| 2025.01.04 | Chiba | 75 : 67 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.02.07 | Chiba | 77 : 58 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.01.21 | Chiba | 89 : 82 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.01.20 | Chiba | 98 : 79 | Hokkaido |
| 2023.10.25 | Hokkaido | 77 : 82 | Chiba |
| 2023.04.16 | Chiba | 80 : 54 | Hokkaido |
| 2023.04.15 | Chiba | 96 : 71 | Hokkaido |