Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
88 : 552016.02.13 · 종료
TsukubaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME84.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+84.5%
VALUE EDGE+84.5%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADES
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsTsukuba
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+11.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.17
174.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.50
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 60-73W · 59-99W · 83-102W · 93-69W · 85-66
Tsukuba
L · 69-107L · 67-88L · 69-57L · 75-63L · 83-56
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.29 | Tsukuba | 62 : 84 | Alvark |
| 2016.02.14 | Alvark | 108 : 63 | Tsukuba |
| 2016.02.13 | Alvark | 88 : 55 | Tsukuba |
| 2015.10.25 | Tsukuba | 66 : 101 | Alvark |
| 2015.10.24 | Tsukuba | 63 : 88 | Alvark |
| 2015.03.25 | Tsukuba | 51 : 89 | Alvark |
| 2014.11.30 | Alvark | 70 : 68 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.11.29 | Alvark | 87 : 59 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.10.12 | Tsukuba | 59 : 95 | Alvark |
| 2014.10.11 | Tsukuba | 62 : 82 | Alvark |