Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
70 : 682016.01.20 · 종료
Brave ThundersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.5%
VALUE EDGE+51.5%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsBrave Thunders
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+11.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.25
174.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.75
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation1.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 69-81W · 65-74W · 71-76L · 61-80W · 90-72
Brave Thunders
W · 70-87W · 71-91W · 81-77W · 97-59W · 80-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.10 | Brave Thunders | 82 : 94 | Alvark |
| 2025.04.27 | Alvark | 84 : 80 | Brave Thunders |
| 2025.04.26 | Alvark | 80 : 67 | Brave Thunders |
| 2024.12.01 | Brave Thunders | 62 : 80 | Alvark |
| 2024.11.30 | Brave Thunders | 66 : 88 | Alvark |
| 2024.01.07 | Alvark | 99 : 76 | Brave Thunders |
| 2024.01.06 | Alvark | 94 : 79 | Brave Thunders |
| 2023.01.08 | Alvark | 88 : 73 | Brave Thunders |
| 2023.01.07 | Alvark | 75 : 64 | Brave Thunders |
| 2016.03.12 | Brave Thunders | 58 : 78 | Alvark |