Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan

Brave ThundersHOME · -
81 : 772015.12.23 · 종료
TsukubaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.9%
VALUE EDGE+77.9%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADES
Brave ThundersAnalysis MetricsTsukuba
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.17
160.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.50
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brave Thunders
W · 97-59W · 80-83L · 89-99L · 70-85W · 78-88
Tsukuba
L · 56-75L · 81-90L · 70-66L · 79-56W · 74-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.20 | Tsukuba | 77 : 85 | Brave Thunders |
| 2015.12.23 | Brave Thunders | 81 : 77 | Tsukuba |
| 2015.10.31 | Brave Thunders | 75 : 73 | Tsukuba |
| 2015.10.30 | Brave Thunders | 90 : 54 | Tsukuba |
| 2015.01.21 | Brave Thunders | 89 : 63 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.12.20 | Tsukuba | 49 : 86 | Brave Thunders |
| 2014.12.19 | Tsukuba | 53 : 79 | Brave Thunders |
| 2014.11.02 | Brave Thunders | 89 : 59 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.11.01 | Brave Thunders | 94 : 73 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.03.16 | Brave Thunders | 82 : 67 | Tsukuba |