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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Japan
Utsunomiya BrexHOME · -
81 : 832015.12.20 · 종료
ChibaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.2%
VALUE EDGE+76.2%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEB
Utsunomiya BrexAnalysis MetricsChiba
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-4.67 Point MarginHigher is better -5.83
167.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 179.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Utsunomiya Brex
W · 80-63W · 62-73W · 71-88W · 74-69W · 86-74
Chiba
L · 80-63W · 71-64L · 77-81L · 74-72W · 50-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.05.19Utsunomiya Brex82 : 71Chiba
2025.05.18Utsunomiya Brex55 : 74Chiba
2025.05.17Utsunomiya Brex84 : 67Chiba
2025.04.16Chiba85 : 79Utsunomiya Brex
2025.01.29Utsunomiya Brex91 : 73Chiba
2024.10.06Chiba80 : 61Utsunomiya Brex
2024.05.11Utsunomiya Brex67 : 58Chiba
2024.05.10Utsunomiya Brex70 : 82Chiba
2024.04.28Chiba74 : 85Utsunomiya Brex
2024.04.27Chiba55 : 82Utsunomiya Brex