Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
71 : 822015.12.05 · 종료
Hiroshima D.AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.9%
VALUE EDGE+76.9%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEB
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsHiroshima D.
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
+11.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.67
174.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.67
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 90-76W · 70-80W · 70-71L · 78-88W · 99-79
Hiroshima D.
L · 90-76L · 67-87L · 66-98L · 60-58L · 77-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.11.10 | Alvark | 95 : 79 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2024.11.09 | Alvark | 71 : 56 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2023.12.03 | Alvark | 61 : 76 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2023.12.02 | Alvark | 88 : 75 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2023.01.22 | Hiroshima D. | 63 : 66 | Alvark |
| 2023.01.21 | Hiroshima D. | 71 : 74 | Alvark |
| 2016.05.03 | Alvark | 92 : 72 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2016.03.27 | Hiroshima D. | 78 : 90 | Alvark |
| 2016.03.26 | Hiroshima D. | 67 : 81 | Alvark |
| 2015.12.05 | Alvark | 71 : 82 | Hiroshima D. |