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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Japan
Utsunomiya BrexHOME · -
83 : 892015.11.08 · 종료
AlvarkAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +60.7%
VALUE EDGE+60.7%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEA
Utsunomiya BrexAnalysis MetricsAlvark
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-4.67 Point MarginHigher is better +11.33
167.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.33
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation9.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
39.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
60.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Utsunomiya Brex
W · 76-74W · 55-64W · 65-90W · 87-58W · 77-58
Alvark
L · 76-74W · 93-82W · 71-69W · 66-101W · 63-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.01Alvark106 : 71Utsunomiya Brex
2026.10.31Alvark100 : 90Utsunomiya Brex
2025.04.23Utsunomiya Brex61 : 55Alvark
2025.03.05Alvark63 : 61Utsunomiya Brex
2024.04.21Utsunomiya Brex61 : 70Alvark
2024.04.20Utsunomiya Brex80 : 76Alvark
2023.10.15Alvark70 : 71Utsunomiya Brex
2023.10.14Alvark75 : 60Utsunomiya Brex
2023.04.05Alvark81 : 67Utsunomiya Brex
2022.12.28Utsunomiya Brex69 : 82Alvark