Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
ChibaHOME · -
69 : 792015.10.24 · 종료
KumamotoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.4%
VALUE EDGE+78.4%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
ChibaAnalysis MetricsKumamoto
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-3.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.92
181.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.42
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chiba
W · 68-71W · 65-77L · 74-82L · 75-86L · 86-60
Kumamoto
L · 66-85L · 55-61L · 67-72L · 79-61L · 90-47
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.21 | Chiba | 81 : 76 | Kumamoto |
| 2016.02.20 | Chiba | 71 : 62 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.11.01 | Kumamoto | 66 : 75 | Chiba |
| 2015.10.31 | Kumamoto | 84 : 76 | Chiba |
| 2015.10.24 | Chiba | 69 : 79 | Kumamoto |
| 2015.03.22 | Kumamoto | 71 : 80 | Chiba |
| 2015.03.21 | Kumamoto | 71 : 87 | Chiba |
| 2014.12.28 | Chiba | 68 : 48 | Kumamoto |
| 2014.12.27 | Chiba | 65 : 73 | Kumamoto |
| 2014.03.09 | Kumamoto | 67 : 76 | Chiba |