Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
81 : 782015.10.17 · 종료
KobeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.7%
VALUE EDGE+82.7%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADES
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsKobe
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+11.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.83
174.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.17
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
4.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 65-97W · 70-77L · 82-88L · 69-81W · 69-66
Kobe
L · 63-99L · 65-103L · 81-67W · 66-67L · 92-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.30 | Alvark | 91 : 69 | Kobe |
| 2016.02.07 | Kobe | 59 : 99 | Alvark |
| 2016.02.06 | Kobe | 83 : 102 | Alvark |
| 2015.10.18 | Alvark | 103 : 61 | Kobe |
| 2015.10.17 | Alvark | 81 : 78 | Kobe |
| 2015.03.15 | Alvark | 81 : 76 | Kobe |
| 2015.03.14 | Alvark | 93 : 59 | Kobe |
| 2014.10.26 | Kobe | 74 : 81 | Alvark |
| 2014.10.25 | Kobe | 66 : 94 | Alvark |
| 2014.03.09 | Kobe | 73 : 95 | Alvark |