Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan · NBL - Semi-finals
Sun RockersHOME · -
73 : 672015.05.17 · 종료
AlvarkAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.7%
VALUE EDGE+55.7%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
Sun RockersAnalysis MetricsAlvark
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.00
153.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.17
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation4.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sun Rockers
L · 71-80W · 86-60W · 73-69W · 60-91L · 63-75
Alvark
W · 71-80W · 73-102W · 81-91W · 83-76W · 75-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.24 | Alvark | 78 : 64 | Sun Rockers |
| 2016.04.23 | Alvark | 90 : 86 | Sun Rockers |
| 2016.01.24 | Sun Rockers | 71 : 83 | Alvark |
| 2016.01.23 | Sun Rockers | 71 : 85 | Alvark |
| 2015.12.23 | Sun Rockers | 71 : 76 | Alvark |
| 2015.05.18 | Sun Rockers | 72 : 81 | Alvark |
| 2015.05.17 | Sun Rockers | 73 : 67 | Alvark |
| 2015.05.16 | Sun Rockers | 71 : 80 | Alvark |
| 2015.04.29 | Sun Rockers | 63 : 75 | Alvark |
| 2015.02.01 | Sun Rockers | 81 : 69 | Alvark |