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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Japan · NBL - Quarter-finals
Sun RockersHOME · -
73 : 692015.05.08 · 종료
ChibaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.3%
VALUE EDGE+71.3%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Sun RockersAnalysis MetricsChiba
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-0.83 Point MarginHigher is better -3.50
153.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 181.83
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
5.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sun Rockers
W · 60-91L · 63-75W · 96-50W · 100-65W · 54-83
Chiba
W · 82-57L · 64-79L · 83-71W · 72-54W · 74-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.05.08Chiba74 : 82Sun Rockers
2016.03.06Sun Rockers60 : 73Chiba
2016.03.05Sun Rockers79 : 74Chiba
2015.11.15Chiba65 : 76Sun Rockers
2015.11.14Chiba73 : 76Sun Rockers
2015.05.09Sun Rockers86 : 60Chiba
2015.05.08Sun Rockers73 : 69Chiba
2014.12.23Sun Rockers63 : 65Chiba
2014.11.30Chiba60 : 70Sun Rockers
2014.11.29Chiba70 : 78Sun Rockers