Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan · 32

ChibaHOME · -
64 : 792015.05.02 · 종료
HokkaidoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.3%
VALUE EDGE+64.3%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
ChibaAnalysis MetricsHokkaido
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-3.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.42
181.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.25
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation12.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chiba
L · 83-71W · 72-54W · 74-71L · 69-58W · 59-65
Hokkaido
W · 78-69L · 71-68W · 78-82W · 87-77W · 84-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.20 | Hokkaido | 81 : 108 | Chiba |
| 2025.04.19 | Hokkaido | 81 : 88 | Chiba |
| 2025.01.05 | Chiba | 64 : 70 | Hokkaido |
| 2025.01.04 | Chiba | 75 : 67 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.02.07 | Chiba | 77 : 58 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.01.21 | Chiba | 89 : 82 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.01.20 | Chiba | 98 : 79 | Hokkaido |
| 2023.10.25 | Hokkaido | 77 : 82 | Chiba |
| 2023.04.16 | Chiba | 80 : 54 | Hokkaido |
| 2023.04.15 | Chiba | 96 : 71 | Hokkaido |