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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Japan · 32
ChibaHOME · -
64 : 792015.05.02 · 종료
HokkaidoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.3%
VALUE EDGE+64.3%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
ChibaAnalysis MetricsHokkaido
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-3.50 Point MarginHigher is better -5.42
181.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.25
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation12.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chiba
L · 83-71W · 72-54W · 74-71L · 69-58W · 59-65
Hokkaido
W · 78-69L · 71-68W · 78-82W · 87-77W · 84-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.04.20Hokkaido81 : 108Chiba
2025.04.19Hokkaido81 : 88Chiba
2025.01.05Chiba64 : 70Hokkaido
2025.01.04Chiba75 : 67Hokkaido
2024.02.07Chiba77 : 58Hokkaido
2024.01.21Chiba89 : 82Hokkaido
2024.01.20Chiba98 : 79Hokkaido
2023.10.25Hokkaido77 : 82Chiba
2023.04.16Chiba80 : 54Hokkaido
2023.04.15Chiba96 : 71Hokkaido